November19, 2006:
Iran has been running a propaganda campaign inside the country for
over a year now, to convince people that war with the United States would
result in a great victory. All foreigners see are the numerous, highly
publicized, military exercises that have been staged lately. These include well
photographed missile launches and numerous firepower demonstrations. All this
is mainly for internal consumption, along with a massive, and ongoing, campaign
of interviews, radio and television shows touting the power of the Iranian
armed forces. The government wants to reassure people that the Iranian military
is mighty, and can even handle the Americans. Iranian military officials,
however, go out of their way to denigrate American troops, and their
performance in Iraq. This is considered very important, because Iranian
military commanders, and Iranians in general, were shocked by the speed and
ferocity of the American 2003 march on Baghdad. Iran tired to take Saddam down
in the 1980s, and after eight years and over half a million casualties, had to
call it quits. This was humiliating for Iranians, who have been the big dog,
militarily, in the region for thousands of years.
The
government has tried to recast the American soldiers as wimps because of all
the violence in Iraq since 2003. This has not been easy. Most Iranians know
exactly what the Americans did, and are doing, in Iraq. The violence there is
largely the work of Saddam's followers, who refuse to give up, out of
fear of retribution of the Kurds and Shia Arabs. The Americans saw to it that
elections were held, and the Shia majority now runs the Iraqi government. For
most Iranians, the anti-American spin from their government is not very
convincing. But the government persists, because they cannot forget the popular
talk among Iranians, after Baghdad fell, about whether the American soldiers
would come liberate Iran as well.
Iranians
are less concerned with all the government hype about all those wonderful,
Iranian built, weapons. Those that believe, believe, but many Iranians have
figured out that the government weapons industry is a scam. It's another hustle
by the clerics to steal money, and cover their tracks with phony stats and
outrageous claims.
Of
some concern to the United States are the Iranian claims that they can mess
with American satellites. Iranians have already done this, from their Cuban
embassy, in an effort to interfere with Iranian-language television shows,
produced in the United States by exiled Iranians. It doesn't require high-tech
electronic skills to interfere with communications satellites. Electronic hobbyists
have been doing it for years. But it shows that the Iranians possess at least
that level of skill, and are willing to use it.