May 20,2008:
NATO has established a Cyber
Defense Center in Estonia. This is a result of being called on by Estonia, a
year ago, to declare Cyber War on Russia. Russia was accused of causing great
financial harm to Estonia via Cyber War attacks, and Estonia wants this sort of
thing declared terrorism, and dealt with. NATO
agreed to discuss the issue, but never took any action against Russia.
The Cyber Defense Center is one tangible result of the 2007 Cyber War attacks.
The Center will study Cyber War techniques and incidents, and attempt to
coordinate efforts by other NATO members to create Cyber War defenses, and
offensive weapons.
Cyber Wars have been going on for over a
decade now, and they are getting worse. It started in the 1990s, as individuals
attacked the web sites in other nations because of diplomatic disputes. This
was usually stirred up by some international incident. India and Pakistan went
at it several times, and Arabs and Israelis have been trashing each others web
sites for years. The Arabs have backed off somewhat, mainly because the Israeli
hackers are much more effective. Chinese and Taiwanese hackers go at each other
periodically, and in 2001, Chinese and American hackers clashed because of a
collision off the Chinese coast between an American reconnaissance aircraft and
a Chinese fighter.
In the
last three years, these Cyber Wars have escalated from web site defacing and
shutting down sites with massive amounts of junk traffic (DDOS attacks), to
elaborate espionage efforts against American military networks. The attackers
are believed to be Chinese, and some American military commanders are calling
for a more active defense (namely, a counterattack) to deal with the matter.
The
Russian attacks against Estonia were the result of Estonia moving a statue,
honoring Russian World War II soldiers, from the center of the
capital, to a military cemetery. The Estonians always saw the statue as a
reminder of half a century of Russian occupation and oppression. Russia saw the
statue move as an insult to the efforts of Russian soldiers to liberate
Estonia, and enable the Russians to occupy the place for half a century. The
basic problem here is that most Russians don't see their Soviet era ancestors
as evil people, despite the millions of Russians and non-Russians killed by the
Soviet secret police. The Russians are very proud of their defeat of Nazi
Germany in World War II, ignoring the fact that the Soviet government was just
biding its time before it launched its own invasion of Germany and Europe in
general.
While many
Russians would have backed a military attack on Estonia, to retaliate for the
insult by an ungrateful neighbor, this approach was seen as imprudent. Estonia
is now part of NATO, and an attack on one NATO member is considered an attack
on all. It's because of this Russian threat that Estonia was so eager to get
into NATO. The Russians, however, believe that massive Cyber War attacks will
not trigger a NATO response. They were so sure of this, that some of the early
DDOS attacks were easily traced back to computers owned by the Russian
government. When that got out, the attacks stopped for a few days, and then
resumed from what appear to be illegal botnets. Maybe some legal botnets as
well. Russian language message boards were full of useful information on how to
join the holy war against evil Estonia. There's no indication that any Russians
are afraid of a visit from the Russian cyber-police for any damage they might
do to Estonia. And the damage has been significant, amounting to millions of
dollars so far. While no one has been injured, Estonia is insisting that this
attack, by Russia, should trigger the mutual defense provisions of the NATO
treaty. It didn't, but it was a reminder to all that Cyber War is very real.