June 30,
2008: The Iranian leadership is
desperate to have someone invade their country, or make some kind of
spectacular attack. The reason is simple, years of stealing oil revenue is
catching up with the larcenous clerics
who have been running the country since the 1980s. It was the Iraqi invasion of
1980 that enabled the clerics to seize power, and enact a constitution that
made the clergy the final word on what was legal, and what was not, forever. In
effect, this created a religious dictatorship. People being what they are, it
wasn't long before the clerics began helping themselves to the oil money. It
wasn't just the clerics, there were plenty of the faithful with useful skills
that had to be paid off as well. The problem was, this was not a secret. Give a
guy a pile of cash and one of the first things he does is build a big house. It
soon became apparent that most of the big houses were for clerics and their
minions.
In the
last few years, the theft has grown, and so have the number of luxury homes in
the outskirts of Iran's major cities. But so much money was being diverted
(we're talking billions of dollars a month, tens of billions in some months),
that there wasn't much left to build homes for anyone else, or invest in
businesses that would provide jobs for young Iranians. Except, of course, for
the children of the clerics. You can always tell who they are, riding around in
late model cars, often accompanied by an SUV full of bodyguards. There has been
some violence against these spoiled "princes", and measures have been taken to
prevent the angry poor from getting out of hand.
The
bodyguards are often poor, but pious, kids from the country. Lots of villages
out are still out there where everything, including religious beliefs, are old
school. Iran's rulers have recruited the most religious Iranians to staff the
secret police and the Revolutionary Guards (which mainly guards against any
disloyalty in the armed forces, or any other dangerous group of Iranians.)
About twenty percent of the population is still pretty religious, and willing
to look the other way (when it comes to corruption) in return for a good
paycheck and some slick sermons. Everyone else can rely on stealing, begging
and prostitution.
But the
clerical dictatorship realizes the clock is ticking. With so many of the people
against them, and evidence of the corruption so obvious, something else is
needed. Something like an American invasion, which would instantly tap into
latent nationalism and rally the people behind the dictators. But the U.S.
isn't cooperating. A poor second would be an attack by Israel. That would be
embarrassing, given all the negative propaganda Iran generates against Israel
(and how it will be destroyed and so on.) Of course, an Israeli strike against
Iranian nuclear weapons facilities can be blamed on the Americans, but that
doesn't really have the same impact as U.S. tanks crossing the Iranian border
and moving towards the capital.
So, for
the moment, the corrupt clergy can only steal, and hope.