July 18, 2007:
Piracy hit a trough from the late nineteenth century into the later
twentieth. That was because the Great Powers had pretty much divided up the
whole planet, and policed it. Piracy began to revive in a modest way beginning
in the 1970s, with the collapse of many post-colonial regimes. Note that what
constitutes an act of piracy is not clearly defined. It essentially comes down
to non-state sanctioned use of force at sea or from the sea. This could include
intercepting a speedboat to rob the passengers, but that's usually just thought
of as armed robbery. And something like the seizure of the Achille Lauro is
considered terrorism, rather than piracy. In the past, some marginal states
have sanctioned piratical operations, like the Barbary states, but that is rare
any more.
The trend, however, is definitely up.
o 1991: About 120 known cases of real or attempted
piracy
o 1994: over 200 cases
o 2000: 471 cases
o 2005: 359 cases
o 2006: 334 cases
Pirates usually function of the margins of society,
trying to get a cut of the good life in situations where there aren't many
options. This is usually in areas where state control is weakest or absent, in
failing and "flailed" states (a flailing state is something like Nigeria,
Indonesia, or the Philippines, where the government is managing to keep things
together but is faced with serious problems and areas out of its control,
unlike a failed state such as Somalia, where there isn't a government at all.)
The solution to piracy is essentially on land; go
into uncontrolled areas and institute governance. This has been the best
approach since the Romans eliminated piracy in the Mediterranean over 2,000
years ago.. Trying to tackle piracy on the maritime end can reduce the incidence of piracy, but can't
eliminate it. In the modern world the "land" solution often can't be
implemented. Who wants to put enough troops into Somalia to eliminate piracy?
And flailing states are likely to be very sensitive about their sovereignty if
you offer to help them control marginal areas.
Piracy in the vital (most of the worlds oil exports
pass through here) Straits of Malacca was largely an Indonesian phenomenon. It
bothered the Singaporeans a lot, the Malaysians a little, and the Indonesians
not much. But as Indonesia began stabilizing itself over the past few years
(the Aceh Peace settlement, the institution of a more democratic government,
defeating Islamic terrorism), the rate of piracy declined. This decline was
facilitated by the combined police effort of Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia
itself, which didn't come about until a lot of issues among the three states
were resolved. Neither Indonesia nor Malaysia were all that upset about
smuggling, which bothered Singapore. Singapore and Indonesia still have some
problems, as Singapore more or less encourages sand stealing in enormous
volumes from Indonesia.
In contrast to the Straits of Malacca situation,
the U.S. approach to piracy has been largely a police mission, without trying
to deal with the land-side. Again, that would mean occupying Somalia. But there
are some regional constraints on piracy. There seems to be little or no piracy
in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandeb. Apparently this was because the smugglers
decided the pirates interfered with their business (by bringing in coalition
naval forces), and so shut down any pirate operations themselves. The Somali
pirates may be in for another surprise, as there's talk by the UN humanitarian
assistance folks (who have been losing relief ships to pirates) of seeking
international agreement on permitting anti-piracy patrols to "violate" Somali
territorial waters!
Although most merchant ships are not armed, it
turns out that firefighting equipment can be very effective against pirates
trying to board. Some types of merchant ships (like tankers and chemical
carriers) have extraordinarily sophisticated and powerful equipment that can
literally wash pirates overboard. And a modest industry has developed that attempts
to "pirate proof" ships.