August 20, 2007:
The growing
scandal over tainted food and toys, mostly for export, have revealed to the the
world what most Chinese have long known. The government is unable to regulate
production standards. Thus China is where the U.S. was a century ago, in terms
of unscrupulous manufacturers selling shoddy goods to unsuspecting consumers.
It's all made worse by very active government efforts to suppress news of the
problem. A classic example of this occurred last week, when the collapse of a bridge under construction
killed fifty people, and the government tried to keep it out of the news.
Police physically attacked journalists, and drove them from the scene. But the
news got out anyway, with cell phone pictures and text messages quickly
circulating. One thing the government will publicize is the arrest and
prosecution of those who use the web or cell phones to spread the news, in
violation of government bans.
Many Chinese officials believe
that the manufacturing quality and news suppression stories are distorted in
the West. To Chinese bureaucrats, quality control issues are to be expected in
such a rapidly expanding economy. The corrupt officials who allow much of the
bad production to go on are another expected, progress related, problem. Give
us time, and we'll make it all well. The government officials are less willing
to talk about news management. Privately, they see it as necessary to
"preserve order." But publicly, it's embarrassing to admit that the
Chinese people cannot be trusted with the truth. But it's the government that
can't be trusted with the truth, and a growing number of Chinese are demanding
fewer excuses and more accountability from the government. That is slow in
coming, with too many officials more interested in their illegal income, than
in promoting justice for all.
The military is part of all
this. Corruption, low standards and attempts to suppress bad news are part of
military life as well. Problems with equipment effectiveness and troops
training are considered state secrets. Warplane crashes and low equipment
readiness rates are closely guarded information. But the Internet and cell
phones let bits and pieces get out, and reveal that corruption and poor
leadership are as common, if not more so, in the military as in the rest of the
government. While economic self-interest puts pressure on the government to
improve quality control in export industries (and domestic ones as well), there
is no similar incentive to clean up the armed forces.
The quality control scandals
may not make much of a dent in the growth of Chinese exports, which are running
at the rate of nearly a trillion dollars a year. Currently, China is the number
three exporter, behind Germany and the United States. If Chinese export growth
continues at its current rate, China will become the largest exporting nation
in the world within the next two years. This makes China more vulnerable to a
naval blockade, but also provides cash for modernizing its armed forces, and
spending the huge sums needed to train them to a high degree of
competence.