June 18, 2007:
The government is blaming unrest on the United States. Most people know
better, but reading about American spy rings, and U.S. financed rebel groups
makes for entertaining reading. There's not much other entertainment allowed in
Iran.
June 16, 2007:
U.S. spy satellites discovered a training camp inside Iran, where there
was a mock up of an Iraqi compound that was the scene of a well planned
commando raid that led to the death of five American soldiers. Subsequent
arrests of Iranians and pro-Iranian Iraiqs inside Iraq, led to information
about this being an Iranian commando raid. The new satellite pictures seem to
confirm this. Iran denies everything.
June 15, 2007:
The continuing shipments of Iranian weapons to the in Afghanistan,
Taliban are believed to be part of a deal to stop some of the opium and heroin
coming into Iran. With millions of addicts, and the crime and disorder that
comes with it, the government is willing to do whatever it takes to reduce the
drug problem. Expelling hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees is part of
that program, as is increasing the number of troops and paramilitaries along
the Afghan and Pakistan borders. But since the Taliban work with the Afghan
drug gangs, the Iranians believe the Taliban could get the drug shipments moved
through Central Asia, instead of Iran (where a lot of those shipments are sold
to local distributors before most of it moves on to the Arab Gulf states and
Europe.)
June 14, 2007:
Iranian officials are now playing down the prospects of an American
attack. It's obvious to all that the clerical dictatorship in Iran would
benefit from such an attack, as it would mobilize the people behind the
government. Meanwhile, the economic sanctions are continuing to hurt the
economy, and many factions in the government would like to make a deal on the
nuclear weapons, to get sanctions lifted. But the radical faction in the
government won't consider any slow down in the nuclear weapons program. The
radicals believe their paramilitary forces can handle any uprising, and once
Iran has nukes, all manner of opportunities will present themselves.
June 11, 2007:
A rescue helicopter crashed in the southeast. Most Iranian aircraft and
helicopters are old and poorly maintained because of the sanctions. This makes
it impossible to use these aircraft at a normal rate, and leads to a higher
accident rate. This is another cause of unrest among most Iranians.
June 10, 2007:
Pakistan arrested three foreign al Qaeda suspects near the Iranian
border. Pakistan has frequently caught Islamic terrorists sneaking into, or out
of, Iran, where it's an open secret that Iran provides sanctuary for the Sunni
terrorists.
June 9, 2007:
The government has backed away from a plan to legalize prostitution. A
cleric has advocated using an old Shia custom of "temporary marriage"
which, in effect, made prostitution, or shacking up, legal. Of course, you
needed a cooperative cleric to sign off on the deal. This usually required a
fee. The proposal was meant to placate the many impoverished young Iranian men
who cannot afford to get married, and are rather restless as a result. There is
already a lot of prostitution, and the new proposal was seen as another ploy by
the corrupt clerics to extract more money from the people, in this case,
horny men. As a result, the government has backed away
from the proposal. Many ultra-conservative clerics want to maintain the ban on
prostitution, and the clerics running terrorism operations don't want illicit
sex interfering with the recruiting of suicide bombers (who are assured of 72
willing girls in the after life).
June 8, 2007:
In the north, the army fired artillery shells at PKK camps across the
border in Iraq. There were several clashes with PKK fighters along the border,
with several dozen casualties. At least five Iranian soldiers died. This was
happening at the same time that the Turkish army was firing artillery at PKK
camps, and sending commandos into Iraq to grab PKK leaders. Both countries are
trying to stop PKK recruiting among their Kurdish minorities, and terrorist
attacks against the government.